Results
[ QUOTE ]
I believe in the power of the simple mind. I 3-bet the river.
[/ QUOTE ]
Decisions in poker are not always simple, and that is what makes it a great game. Now back to the hand.
Here is a paraphrasing of Greenstein's amazing analysis.
The strong player must have started with rolled up 8s. That is consistent with his cold call of the raise on third, and his decision to continue when we have open queens. Thus, the strong player almost surely has a full house.
Now you think, "Why didn't he initially raise you on the river?" He must have figured he could get the same money if he got an overcall from the weak player, without risking a reraise from you. Piecing this together, you start to see what the perfect play was. You could have JUST CALLED the raise by the weak player on the river, representing only trip queens. You may get just an overcall from the strong player, but if he has the eights full he will now reraise, because he now thinks you did not fill up. So, he will then reraise, and when it comes back to you, you confound them both with the fourth bet!
|