Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed)
converter
MP ($75)
CO ($203.55)
Button ($121)
SB ($108.55)
BB ($200)
Hero ($200)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
Hero calls $2, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $4</font>, Button calls $4, <font color="#666666">
2 folds</font>, Hero calls $2.
Flop: ($15) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $15</font>, Button calls $15, Hero calls $196 (All-In)
Both opponents are loose preflop, >50% VPIP, don't know much else.
I did some quick calculations (post hand) where I assumed a caller would have a set 50% time, overpair to J or AJ 25% and 2 pair 25%. So I would always be losing, and the ace out would be no good. This gives them roughly an avg of 6 outs to beat my flush if it comes, so about 24% of the 33% times I make the flush I still lose.
Given these assumptions I need them both to fold ~66% to break even. More than this and its +EV.
Reasonable move or not?
Edit: fixed some math.