Re: a common situation i may be misplaying
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Since we will pay 2 BB to see a showdown calling down is MUCH better than free showdown raise. We gain nothing by raising, only lose.
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I think the turn raise and call down are very close in this one - probably the turn raise gets a slight edge. One of the differences between this and yesterday's hand is that villian may have well improved on the turn card.
If he has a 4, he might be betting an OESD in which case we gain by raising. If he has 66, then we're drawing dead and we'll save chips folding to a 3-bet vs the 6% of the time we catch a river T.
To suggest we never gain by raising is incorrect. We gain any time villian is on a draw, and there are more draws than there were in yesterday's hand.
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It's especially bad if he has AK, 3-bets, we fold and a T would have come on the river.
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This is a pretty specific situation. It's almost the same likelyhood that we'll call and he'll spike a third K to his KK and beat us on the river.
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