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Old 08-10-2005, 04:27 AM
elus2 elus2 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 15
Default Re: 2/4 Throwing away money with bottom set.

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Are you really saying that you're folding a set (with 10 outs to a boat, including 2 of his flush cards*) to a AK draw? You're ahead, his odds to make his flush are now 6 to 1*.

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no he's saying that our opponent's hand range doesn't have a diamond or a combo draw enough of the time to make calling profitable. he's saying that 75% of the time, hero has one out for quads and the other 25% of the time he'll be ahead but will need to dodge the villain's flush outs. this makes it a very -EV call over the long run versus this specific opponent.
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