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Old 08-08-2005, 10:13 PM
Perseus Perseus is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 264
Default Re: Longest feasible downswing for solid player

This is a fantastic graph of an average winning online low limit player.

1. Notice the win rate. People say they win at 3bb/100 blah blah blah but this is a very very very rare exception, and most people are full of [censored].

2. Notice the semi-large sample size. Not even close to a true sample, but most graphs I have seen hold less than 30k hands.

3. Notice how many breakeven streaks, even little downstreaks, our hero has over 10-15k sample sizes.

4. Notice how many huge 300bb upswings our hero has over similar sample sizes.

Many questions by newer players ask "whats a good win rate", "is 30k hands a good sample?", "I lost over 15k hands...WHY!" and "I win 4bb/100 over 20k hands...am I god?"

This graph answers many of those questions. I would love to see three or four 100k hand graphs by some of our full ring game pros, such as a microbob type player thats has over a years worth of data, and see the differences over these 100k hand samples
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