Personally, I find that contrary thinking is often profitable. In this case, everyone is tightening up to get in the money so tilting at a lot of pots and then letting go when pushed back has been very profitable for me. I also tend to push the flop as well so I get a free pass on the turn. Then, if I haven't hit, I chalk the whole thing up to experience and look like a guy making an intelligent lay down. This strategy has had a significant +EV. But that is only because of the predictability of other people's tightness once there's only 5 people left.