Homeboy is pretty LAG, but is aggressive when he shouldnt be, raises at the wrong spots, etc (example: he likes to raise bottom pair on the flop, even when his other card is under the flop. explain this to me). his stats look good im sure but he doesn't really know what he's doing. He loves to call- and to raise. Which brings me to the question. He raises me on the flop which contains some flush/straight possibilities. I lead into him on the turn when none of them come in. The river pairs the top card. I think it's about a 30% chance he raised the flop w/ top pair (although id expect him to raise the turn then) vs a draw (flush or straight, in which case id expect him to call the turn). Knowing that, does a bet/call (knowing he;ll raise scare cards/raise for the purpose of being aggressive), a bet/fold (i cant see why this is right here) or a check/call to induce a bluffsky (he's the type that'd do it.) He'd likely call w/ any piece of the board. Oh, and one final thought. How about c/r the river and folding to a 3bet?
Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed)
converter
Preflop: Kfly is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, MP calls, CO calls, <font color="#666666">
1 fold</font>, SB completes, <font color="#CC3333">Kfly raises</font>, MP calls, CO calls, SB calls.
Flop: (8 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Kfly bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, CO folds, SB folds, Kfly calls.
Turn: (6 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Kfly bets</font>, MP calls.
River: (8 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Kfly bets</font>, MP calls.
Final Pot: 10 BB