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Old 08-07-2005, 02:36 PM
pokerlaw pokerlaw is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 431
Default Re: Post Flop - river call?

unless he has an A or a 10, I am fit to tie him. The chance he has either is roughly 1/6. Given his betting up until the river, I don't think he has either. If he had a 10, wouldn't he have bet after you checked the flop? Maybe he has an ace? but with that flush draw, a bet is likely from most players.

However, he does have a small stack, and he might be slowplaying. This bet size is a bit atypical - most players would value-bet something like t50 here with a boat I feel. If I win this pot, my stack is t940 and I am a middle-high stack. If I lose, I am at t620, but there are still stacks of t540, t390, t470 and villan w t525. I call.

Edit: He might have JJ-KK of course, but I expect a bet from them w the ace showing or more likely a Miniraise PF.
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