Re: The flip side of dominating the bubble
I dont like this, simply because it doesn't take into account skill considerations of good players (like yourself) with a larger stack.
If your chances of winning are X with a small stack.. I dont think doubling up will increase your chances of winning to 2X. I think it will increase it more then that.. so That has to come into consideration when laying out ChipEV scenarios...
so if you double up.. your chances will be 2X+Z.. where Z is the increased liklihood of you winning with a doubled stack.. and I should imagine on first glance that this Z figure in $ terms is greater then the cEV differential.
If its 4 handed and you all have 25% of the chips.. you might assume that you all have a 25% chance of winning.. but if you double up.. do you really think that having 50% of the chips only means you are winning the tourny 50% of the time? In the hands of a good player I contest this hotly.
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