Re: I Still Can\'t Do It : 77 UTG
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I know I have this problem in the 30 a lot with paying off.
I'm pretty sure UTG+1 is full, but do the other guys have to have higher pairs? if not you may have the 2 5's left as outs, at least half the time...so the call would be borderline correct.
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i forgot about the 5s, thats even closer... 2/46 nets you 22:1 necessary for the call. if you have all 4 of those outs its 10.5:1. if you have 3 of them its 14.33.
there's 1 way for 55, 3 ways for 66 and 3 ways for 44. so 1 out of 7 times you are drawing dead. those times you're against 44 you have 4 outs. 66 you have 2 outs. 3*2+3*4+1*0=18/7=2.57 outs. you are now needing 16.88:1 to call ... but that also makes your river decision tough. if you ALWAYS just check and call, he may not bet the 45556 bard. so you lose value when you hit a 5. if you c'r when you hit a 7, 1/7 times you lose that plus ANOTHER bet when he 3bets you w/ 55 90% and 66 10%. so reverse implied odds here suck.
no matter how you cut it, GoT had to fold on the turn. he didn't and suffered from thinking man's tilt.
-Barron
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