Attempted Answer of My own Question
-124 means that:
x(100)-[(1-x)(124)]= 0
100x-(124-124x)=0
224x=124
x=.55357
So, this means that this is a good buy if you think the Braves will win this game about 55% of the time?
Also - this is my big question - do I have to add any other transaction costs into my calculations (e.g. if I am using pinnacle) or can I stop there.
Using, the same math, the probability of the Reds winning is about 46%. Should this always be adding up to about 100% (I tried this once before on another game and thought that for that game it added up to about 90% - I assumed that extra 10% was how the book was making its money).
Thanks in advance for your comments.
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