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Old 08-02-2005, 01:50 PM
derick derick is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Posts: 85
Default Re: All in with AQs from UTG+1 I get too much action.

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Push preflop?!

That's interesting. I was afraid to get it all in preflop because I reraiser may have me beat already with AK, AA, KK, QQ, JJ. I was calling because I figured I was getting good odds with all the deadmoney from the cold callers.

Can you elaborate about why you would push preflop. I never even considered pushing preflop (I'm a crappy player)

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you raised, were minraised, and there were two callers.

the pot is $16 (before your call) with $2 for you to call.

you have less than $20...

to maximize your chance of winning the pot you want to be heads up. if you 3-bet all-in, you may be in a race situation with the minraiser, but i doubt anyone else will call. if everyone folds, you net $13.5.

if minraiser (and only the minraiser) calls, and has an underpair, then you're 48% to win, and would net out roughly $4.5 in EV.

even if there's one other caller with another underpair to you (and they both go to showdown), you're over 33% to win and have a small overlay from the one that folded.

throw in the other caller with a suited connector, and you're still around 30% to win and getting 3:1 on your money.

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Hi Swolfe,

Thanks for the analysis.

I didn't consider pushing preflop.

I was afraid of the reraiser having AA, AKs, AK, KK, QQ

I'd be about 13% vs AA , 25% vs AKs and something between 30% to 35% for AK, KK, QQ.

So I called and didn't push in. I didn't think he had an underpair.

Post flop I pushed because I figured I had him beat if he had KK or QQ and the calling stations might call enough to make calling profitable.

But now I'm thinking your line of calling the UTG bet post flop makes much more sense because a sane player won't call with any hand I can beat?????

Does this my thinking make any sense???

derick
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