View Single Post
  #2  
Old 07-26-2003, 11:36 PM
Ginogino Ginogino is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 334
Default Re: Nut flush on paired board

Ulysses:
What kind of hand could he have? What kind of hand would you cold-call 2 bets with pre-flop that you wouldn't raise with? Given the rest of his betting, you've got to figure that his most likely hand is JX, and if they're suited that means clubs or spades. So he 3-bets the turn to see if you can beat trips.

It's possible, or course that the X-card above is a 9 (but if he's playing suited cards, there is only one card that fits -- the 9 of spades, which reduces his chances of the river card boating him). And I suppose he could have pocket 9's (rivering the boat).

This is not to say that he couldn't be badly mis-betting some other hand. I've seen enough bets that had absolutely nothing to do with the player's hand that I could see. Maybe he thinks he's slowplaying aces.

If I'm right that he's got trips, then by golly he'll raise your river bet and beat you. Sometimes it'll happen. But the large majority of the time, it won't. You played it just fine. Your river bet is for value.

Gino
Reply With Quote