Re: live TPTK, monotone flop, facing overbet
My read based upon her overbet would be 80% she has two pair, set, made flush, or a club in her hand. Your an underdog to all but the one club, and her overbet makes that a neutral EV play for you if you end up all-in with 2 cards to come. (Plus the SB is still a small factor in your decision)
I don't play live so, although I agree with your read that she probably doesn't want you in the hand, I think she is also willing to put the rest of her chips in, which leads me to believe she probably has the one club hand.
This is just a simple 'Don't get caught up in other people's messes' type hand. She bet more than twice the pot on the flop, your investment is minimal so far and all you have is one pair, not likely to improve. Do you want to get stacked with one pair? Your read would have to be rock solid on both her and SB to do anything besides fold here, IMHO. I, of course, am glad to learn here and would like to hear what you have to say in more detail.
--aj
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