Reply to both Newt and Curtains
I certainly don't always bet here and of course I would like better cards. I may well be fooling myself, but I think I can pick up on when it is more likely to work. It is basically a total bluff, though there is some chance I'm called, it checks down and I win or hit my two outer.
I don't yet keep the kind of data to be able to determine how this kind of bet is actually performing and it would probably take too much data to ever really know, but I think I'm +$EV with it.
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