Re: Starting 1/2 6Max AQ hand
Posting blind:
9.5 pfr is low for 6-max. The flop is played fine, but that cap along with his relatively low pfr makes me believe I'm behind here. After that flop cap, I'm saying AA-QQ. At first thought, I'm thinking call the turn but fold the river UI. Let's see what the math says...
AA - 3 ways - 2 outs
KK - 6 ways - 5 outs
QQ - 1 way - 0 outs
That's 10 possibilities.
(3/10)*2 + (6/10)*5 + (1/10)*0 = 3.6 outs on average.
With 3.6 outs, you need ~ 11.75:1. You're getting better than that. Call the turn, but fold the river UI.
*EDIT* I know we hate folding the river for one bet in a big pot, but with those raising standards, are we ahead that often? The only remotely reasonable hand we're beating is KQ. I don't see JJ capping this flop.
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