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Old 07-27-2005, 05:45 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: KQo TP vs a double limp-re-raise preflop

This is not even close to a 5 BB decision. People need to realize that:

1. You will probably not usually be called by all five players. Probably on average ~3 players will see the showdown.

2. The amount of money you give up is really only equal to:

P(n)*n - 1

Where P(n) is the probability you win when called by n players (note, P is a decreasing function of n).

This is what you are giving up, not "5 BB." Sure, if this number is positive you are losing value, but this number is certainly not even close to 5, and, in my opinion, probably not meaningfully positive.

Add in the fact we could get check-raised and betting the river here is probably foolish. Getting check-raised and having to call a raise for pot-size issues (or even having to consider folding in a pot of this size) really, really sucks.
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