[Jake (The Snake)]

[ QUOTE ]

I don't see it. Which calculation is off?

[/ QUOTE ]

The pot size for unraised should be 4.5.

3 limpers + SB + BB

[ QUOTE ]
Yes. I'm factoring future bets into the implied odds / reverse implied odds of the various draws I'm guestimating will be out against you. I concede that so far I haven't been rigorous about estimating the probability of the various draws or their EV, opting instead to just throw out estimates and hope for some help.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't see how you are doing this either. You are taking the % you think we will end up winning and multiplying only by the preflop pot size as far as I can tell.