Re: Are The Odds Identical Here?
I would say its the other way around. Suppose you "know" an ace is coming on the river. That means that there are only 3 aces left for someone's hand. So the chances of someone still being in by the river is less, as they would have folded preflop. This means an ace is less likely to hit than a 7. It has to be very marginally different.
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