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Old 07-25-2005, 11:13 AM
Superfluous Man Superfluous Man is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Ann Arbor, MI
Posts: 84
Default Re: Hand question: Pot odds and MTT bubbles

I fold this, bubble or not. You have to win 18% of the time or so to break even given the 4.6:1 pot odds (scale this down for implied odds, but still...). Even if only one of the three hands you're up against dominates you, you probably fall short of that 18%. The raiser's tightness (and the fact that he's utg+1) only makes you more likely to be way behind in this hand. Finally, you'll have the worst position postflop, making subsequent decisions very difficult. What if the flop is Qxx? You'll have no way of knowing whether your hand is good, and you're likely to lose a big chunk (if not all of) your stack here or fold the best hand.

Also, unless Rick is a total donk (and you shouldn't discount this possibility), calling for 1/3rd of his stack should set off some sort of alarm.

Hell, I'd rather play something like 56s (though I'd probably fold this, as well) because at least when I hit with 56s I'll more often get an overpair's stack instead of losing my stack.

Sorry the flop came 9JK or something, and welcome to the boards.
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