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Old 07-24-2005, 02:29 PM
binions binions is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 4
Default Re: Do you call an all-in for nearly half your stack on a draw?

[ QUOTE ]
$10 3-Table MTT

You're in the BB. No reads.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (7 handed) converter

CO (t960)
Button (t2310)
SB (t1210)
BB (t2590)
UTG (t1700)
MP1 (t2280)
MP2 (t1270)

BB is dealt: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Preflop:
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls t30, MP2 calls t30, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls t30, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t150) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets t60</font>, MP1 calls t60, MP2 calls t60, Button calls t60, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t1180</font>.

Do you call the SB's check-raise all-in for almost half of your stack getting less than 6-4 on your money? Are you concerned about players behing you? What do you put the SB on?

[/ QUOTE ]

So, there is 450 in the pot, and 1120 to call. 1570:1120= 1.4:1.

Best case scenario, you have 9 spades, 3 aces and run run straight (89, KQ) - 13 outs total, which is even money with 2 cards to come. If you knew that, you would call.

But what if someone else has a spade draw? You have less outs.

It could be the all in has KsQs or 9s8s or Qs9s, in which case you are about even money.

But it is more likely he has 2 pair or a set, in which case you have about 8 outs - ie 2:1 dog. (bigger dog if one of the other callers has spades)

On balance, you should fold.
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