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Old 07-21-2005, 05:04 PM
Nytecaster Nytecaster is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 15
Default Re: UI overcards--check the turn?

[ QUOTE ]
Found this in my HH from last nite. No notes on these players.

PokerStars 0.25/0.50 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: (8 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP3 calls, SB calls, BB calls.

Turn: (6 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises</font>, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls.

River: (10 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 11 BB

On the flop, I've got 6 good outs. Three to one to win the hand, 3 others in; bet.

Turn: Roughly 7-1 to hit my outs, might win the hand UI, but doesn't justify a bet; should've checked. MP3 bets: 7BB pot so far, assume others fold. Okay getting 3-1 to see showdown? Or fold to probable straight (65/T9), set, or 2-pair (87s)? Does anyone at .25/.50 bluff when an 8 falls on the turn, or bet a non-face-card middle pair? Why am I calling this?

River: Why am I folding an 11BB pot? Is the likelihhod of a bluff less than 8.5%? Actually, yes. Fold.

I should have check-folded the turn. Right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Betting the flop is okay here with the overs as you have a possible backdoor straight draw. If a A through T falls, then I would bet out again, otherwise check/fold as you aren't going to bluff out three other players on this flop, it is likely now they aren't all going to fold. If you feel there is a good chance they all may fold then I would bet with anything on the turn. I believe unless they are weak-tight they are not going to fold as the small flop is likely to hit two blind hands with at least a pair. Keep this in mind.
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