[Wake up CALL]

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Good original post. The thing that struck me was that the 75% estimate of him folding to the scare cards was probably where you went wrong. Congrats on the good read on his hand btw, it's a sign of great talent to narrow it down that much and apply it.

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Appy it???? Am I missing something here? First he correctly puts the player on a big hand, then he calls preflop, on the flop on the turn and then bluffs off his stack on the river? Where did he apply his read? What he did is talk himself into putting the player on some other bluffable hand then proceeded to throw away his chips.