If you're wrong, you lost 15 big bets, or $60. If you're right, and instead you bet, you lose 1 big bet, or $4. So, are you right here about 94% (I think that's about the right math) of the time? I don't think I'm right about anything 94% of the time, so I would probably call on the river.

It looks to me like you played the rest of the hand great.