Re: You might hate the way I played this hand
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The bet is not a valuebet, but a shot at pushing MP out of the pot.
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the callingstation had previously called a bet on every round including the river with A high.
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Why? The proection concept is misapplied if you don't have the best hand -- "protecting" queen high when you're pretty sure that someone else (1) has at least ace high and (2) is willing to show it down the majority of the time is bad.
In other words, it doesn't help you if you force MP out but the calling station calls, since you'll only win if you hit one of your outs. Unless you think you're buying some Q and J outs (which on this board I highly doubt), this bet is just donating chips.
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I would still probably win around 50% on the river UI by taking the free showdown.
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If this were true then your turn bet would be better. But according to your read, the calling station has shown down at least ace-high in his calldowns. What makes you so sure that 50% of the time he's going to call down with jack-high?
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