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Old 07-18-2005, 05:32 AM
einbert einbert is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: in sklansky i trust
Posts: 2,190
Default Re: WSOP - XRay Vision Winning Chances

Good question.

I think 30% for any player using this strategy is probably ridiculously high.

To make your way from 10k chips to 60M, you would be placed in some situation throughout the event where you would be forced to put all your money into the pot with less than a 90% edge (or else sacrifice simply far too great of chipEV) N times.

If we can come up with some approximation of N and some average for how much of an edge you will have each time, we can get some kind of percentage.

But 30% has to be way too high.
3% is probably a better starting point.
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