[WSOPstar2B]

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From HOH II:

Your M is 17K/4.5K or around 4...which is how many orbits you have left. I like the push. Remember the 3:1 rule, that if you have a %50 chance of picking up the blinds, yet if you're called you're a 2:1 dog to win the hand, that you can push profitably.

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Here is where I think, actually know, I am weak. Is the 50% chance of a blind fold basically based on ur gut feeling, or more based on his propensity to fold to a raise?
And how the crap do you determine that your hand is a 2:1 dog or better? And how do you determine this when playing at a casino?
This is the aspect of poker math that I am not grasping very well. BTW, I should be getting both HOH's this week.