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Old 07-16-2005, 12:50 PM
gonzopro gonzopro is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
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Default Re: Heads Up in the blinds

My initial read when he bet the flop was most likely a big [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. So with that read I should not have slowed down until another heart hit. His check-raise on the turn confused me, but I agree I should have 3bet here. I think most likely we are ahead (but will not win) >90% here. Only a higher flush is ahead which he should have only about 1% of the time (assuming my math is right which is as unlikely as him having a higher flush). When the river pairs the board, this brings the percentage down some but I think most people would raise from the SB preflop with pockets. So there probably is still some EV to bet this as well. He ended up having a smaller flush.
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