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Old 07-14-2005, 09:30 PM
Smokey_McPot Smokey_McPot is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Uppsala, Sweden
Posts: 4
Default Re: Flopped a set, but the worst card in the deck hits the turn

I say push.

I havn't gone over the numbers in depth but at first look what hits me is that you don't have the combined implied and pot odds to make the call on the turn (even if we assume that he would pay you off on the river if the board pairs).

To make this a profitable situation you need to mix in some fold equity. By pushing your telling villain that you have a hand, and he might lay down a small flush or a straight, also he would be hard pressed to make the call if he in fact has a set of nines. If he calls you with a flush or a straight you still have 10 outs to the river.

By playing your nut flushes the same way your opponents are going to have a hard time reading you in such situations.

An added bonus of this play is that the other players at the table will probably slow down a bit before considering bluffing you when a scarecard hits in the future.
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