Re: AA Makes Set - Bet The River? 1/2 6max
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The reason I'm capping is both players just woke up and are saying they have big hands. If they do in fact have big hands it will get capped behind you, and there is no way you can fold for that last bet with top set.
If they don't have as big of hands as you thought the 3bet may only get called, and you miss out on two bets.
By capping you are just putting in the inevitable 4th bet for the player who has the straight, but increasing your value for when you do have the best hand.
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That makes sense, Brady. So the critical decision becomes whether to call the two back to you, knowing that you might have to put in three BB to see the showdown.
Your getting 13:2 or 7.5:1 to call two against two opponents. If it gets capped, you will be getting 18:3 or 6:1 to call against two opponents.
If it were heads up, this would be a much easier decision. With two players raising, it seems to me the question is, what are the possible hands that two players made with the river Jack and what are the odds that we beat both of them? Perhaps we should guess that it will get capped half the time and split the difference between 7.5:1 and 6:1? Then say we are getting 6.75:1. Is that good enough odds to call two opponents on this board?
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