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  #51  
Old 07-14-2005, 10:43 AM
kyro kyro is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Rochester, NH
Posts: 400
Default Re: IVEY V RAYMER (3to1)

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Have you looked at the counts 6 people are basically dead considering blinds and antes at this point and Ivey is second in chips.

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Yes. Have you?

27 people left. Ivey has about 1/15th of the chips and you think he's 25% to win THE ENTIRE THING.

Please.

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While slightly too high I don't think it is outrageous, especially in light of him destroying the final table when he won his bracelet earlier.

My (wild) guess is that Ivey/Raymer/Matusow are each somewhere between 10% and 15% to win the whole thing. I think they will have a good chance to accumulate chips the closer to the final table we get. Of course the winner still has to be a luckbox.

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I think those are fine odds. That would make 3-1 a very bad bet.