Re: Three hands, Super Tuesday
Hand 1:
Wow, I like the lay down. I don't have the discipline to make this early on without a read.
Hand 2:
I don't like the push. It's a very non-threatening board for any ace. It's not believable that you have ace king here so I think villain can call with any ace as it looks like your trying to run over him. Given your previous push with Q9, I think villain can expect you to make a move with a marginal hand. I think villain has an ace or a king to lead after the flop.
You are betting ~T2400 to win T1,600. Villain needs to fold 60% of the time to make this work for you as you lose almost 100% of the time when he calls. I don't think villain is folding that much, especially after leading.
Hand 3: I push against the huge overbet.
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