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Old 07-12-2005, 03:41 PM
djoyce003 djoyce003 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 139
Default Re: Reraising big with a pair and flush draw into a min-raiser on the flop

You are only making it 15 to go into an $18 pot. Anyone else has to call either 12, or 9 in order to win about 35. If you are playing this hand you have to push here because the raise you made has an estimated fold equity of nearly 0%. The point on making some of these plays is you pick up fold equity, but that isn't happening here. You are basically a coin flip. if he has the ace. Villain didn't raise this preflop so I think AK is unlikely. I do think A7 is likely. I also think a better flush draw is likely which is what you should pray he has because that's the only hand that might call that you are ahead of. I think this is a marginally negative EV play.
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