Re: I think this river call is bad. [Fixed. I think.]
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I agree that if we were against the CO this would be an easy call.
However we are against the SB. Do we really put him on a flat call out of position with AJ, then min-betting into two raisers with only overcards?
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I think it's just as viable as pocket nines. Or at least 33% as viable, which is all Kyo needs.
The gay bet is the thing that really makes me think a set isn't that likely. Most people who flop a set on a not paritcularly threatening board (only real danger is the flush draw) are going to attempt a trap. A miniature blocking bet isn't a trap so much as an attempt to see a cheap turn.
To me, this increases the odds of overcards/flush draw... something that is looking to buy a cheap card in a decent sized pot.
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