Re: An interesting TT hand.
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I think the flop call is dangerous. if you're against AK and a Q, J, or bigger pair, you're drawing to the straight. if you spike a T you're still behind a good percent of the time to a set or AK. it's probably not going to be easy to make a straight considering UTG and/or button probably has a couple of cards you'll need. it's highly unlikely you're ahead and if you are it's going to require the turn getting checked around. not only is this unlikely but if they have 12 outs combined, you're only 50/50 even if you're ahead. if you turn a gutter it's likely that you'll be raised out of the pot and it would be a dubious call even for one bet. I just think this si a really crappy situation. at first glance it seems ok but there are a lot of factors going against you.
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At what point does this become a must-call rather than a dangerous call? At 14:1 I thought it was interesting -- but given UTG's preflop and postflop tendencies and action in this hand it's not particularly likely that I'm going to pay a lot of bets here, though it is possible.
Rob
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