Re: You need a stronger hand to overcall than to call?
I raised the turn because I thought I was ahead, and that I might well get paid off. When the cutoff called on the turn, I felt there was a good chance he was trapping with a flush or a set of deuces, but that I was well ahead of the loose player who could have as little as one pair here.
On the river I checked intending to fold. The cutoff is capable of a bluff here, with something like the lone Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], or of betting with 22 (remember he is likely to get paid off by the big blind).
When the action got back to me I was being offered 780 to 260 that the cutoff was either bluffing or had 22. I thought there was at least a one in four chance of this, so I called reluctantly. If the big blind had folded I think it would be correct for me to fold.
I'm not sure if this means I should bet the river, though: the cutoff won't pay me off with a weaker hand, but the big blind will.
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