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Old 07-06-2005, 09:11 AM
cartman cartman is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 366
Default Re: the value of semi-bluffing

I think the prospects of making a preflop 3-bettor fold at any point in this hand are near zero. Your line is perfect. I think a more interesting situation would be if he had open-raised and you defended in the big blind. I don't know about 10/20, but the typical opponent will never ever ever ever ever fold overcards (usually even one overcard) on the turn. That means if you try to get cute and bet or raise this draw at some point you will (a)either get raised or 3-bet or (b) find yourself in a situation where you must fire again on the river with your busted draw in which case you will inevitably be called with Ace high (or sometimes even K high).

I reserve playing my draw aggressively in this spot for opponents who I have previously seen fold on the turn after I checkraise on a low board with a pair and bet the turn. I make a note and consider playing a draw in the same fashion in the future.

Any thoughts?


Cartman
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