Re: River decision with overpair.
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Clear to call, I think. Chances of winning this hand against a laggish 15 player are no worse than 9/1 and probably more like 6or7/1. And you get some info. The metagame advantage of being seen to be immoveable on river is much exaggerated, though, imo.
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You may be right, but I'm skeptical. The game does play aggressively, no doubt. But do you really see players capping draws THAT ARE NOT FLUSH DRAWS, out of position, very often? 10% of all out of position caps on this board are non-flush draw, no pair hands? That feels a bit high to me.
Good luck.
Eric
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