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Old 06-30-2005, 07:33 PM
baronzeus baronzeus is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Palo Alto, CA/Bay101
Posts: 2,675
Default Re: How many hands do you need to be comfortable with the data?

I think only maybe the 1M+ players can give us even close to solid information on hand values. I just don't think 100 or even 500 instances of an easily varied hand like KTo or JTs is good enough to determine how good the hand is. Then again, I'm probably wrong statistically here.

And I also wouldn't make any judgments on anyone based on under 10K hands. Even 10K hands is pushing, but if I see someone losing something like 4BB/100 over 10K hands, I think that they have some leaks. The same thing holds true for winning players over 10K hands. Unless they are running super hot, it's hard to see someone winning 4BB/100 over 10K without having some strong points to their game.

But less than 2K just doesn't mean anything at all. I've been running hot like the sun recently, and am about 11BB/100 over 2K hands. I know this isn't going to last, and I know I'm not necessarily playing better than during my 8K break-even streak.
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