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Old 06-30-2005, 07:08 PM
MCS MCS is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 143
Default Re: Another Possible Line

I like you "number of bets" idea, but I wonder if it isn't susceptibale to the same sort of thinking that Scrub used on the turn. Specifically, that if he knows Evan will fold to a 3-bet, he can still 3-bet the A6o on the river.

But I doubt Scrub would make that specific move if he hasn't seen Evan go raise-and-fold-to-a-3bet on the river before, whereas he HAS seen Evan do that on the turn.

Also, I suppose Evan is less likely to fold the river anyway because he can end the hand with a call. When Scrub 3-bets the turn, Evan has to worry about paying off on the river as well, so his effective odds are lower.

Calling the turn lets the button hang around. How concerned are we about this?
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