Re: AA hand 2
1. very good analysis, this i the type of thinking that makes you a winner long term
2. you neglected what may be his most likely holding however, namely a big hand that's 50/50 (45, 56, 75) which have monster outs against him. this moves your 90% figure down quite a bit, so if you plug in ~60% instead i'd say you have a much better model.
nice post.
fim
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