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Old 06-24-2005, 10:10 PM
Dudd Dudd is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 203
Default Re: Flopping Sets Dry Spells

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I don't think I had any misconception at all. I was a math minor and took my share of stats courses, so I have a pretty solid understand of stats. In the long run in poker things always even out to their statistical probability. If you're right under 12% to flop a set or quads, then 0 out of 50 is an obvious lag and will have to be made up at some point.

The point of the post was to see how long others have gone without flopping a set not to discuss statistics.

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Are you sure you were a statistics major? It is not guaranteed to make it up at some point, it will only regress to the mean. Your odds of flopping a set won't magically become 2-7.5 rather than 1-7.5 because you've gone 15 pocket pairs without hitting. You're just as likely to have a hot streak as a cold streak, but they are completely independant. You are just as likely to hit normally for a run and then run cold as you are to run hot.
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