Re: $500 Bellagio AKo
He has 3 extra outs on hands 22-44 due to counterfeiting with the three sixes left in the deck. He's 75:25 dog to a pair above sixes, which is obviously -EV calling, but he's neutral on a pair below fives, drawing almost dead to a boat, and ahead of just about everything else. Do a bayesian probability analysis...Given the tourney situation and what you did, I think you have to call if you want a chance to do well in the tourney and gamble a bit. But I like Jason's suggestion on the flop.
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