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Old 06-22-2005, 05:00 PM
DavidC DavidC is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Ontario, Canada
Posts: 292
Default Re: PF question: suited junk in the bb vs pfr

taking a stab at the flush odds:

(9*8*7) / (50 * 49 * 48)

That, divided by 3! (3*2*1)

= 504 / 117600 (is this the total number of flops?)

/ 6


~= 0.0007143

0.07%

Hmm... seems weird.

...

ahem... Uh, I lost two suited cards somewhere. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Revising the top to 11*10*9:

= (990 / 117600)...

D'oh! Revising total # flops to reflect the # of ways you can get the same flop rather than dividing the whole top of the equation:

117600 / 6 = 19600

990/19600 = 5% (a little more)... therefore 19:1 shot of making a flush...

That sounds better. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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