Re: Bluff raising the river
preflop is fine. what percentage favorite you are against a random hand is like almost irrelevent here.
people need to be thinking more about buying the button, the chance to take the pot down if you both miss, the chance to take a free turn card with a flop bet, the value you'll get when you flop a pair and get paid off by the loose passive player, (a pot you might have not won if you'd let other players stay in), and the number of profitable draws you can flop as well.
OMG pokerstove says I'm only 60% to beat a random hand...
a) irrelevant
b) how much overlay do you need?
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