Re: Rely on paired board?
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D) If he had a J he would call my 3-bet. It isn't an "only get called when your beat" situation.
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Also consider that villain will likely cap when hero is behind and call the three bet when villian is behind (and not bluffing), so hero will often lose two when behind (assuming he pays off) and only one when ahead.
Hero may have to be ahead well over 50 percent of the time to make this a profitable value bet.
I would however call the raise, but even this is close.
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