[adanthar]

OK, so he's got 10xBB and the highest place he can fold into is probably around fifth or sixth, maybe.

Taking *just the top 3 spots* (minus 10K each) into account, the ICM says if he folds he's worth around 11.3K, so at a very rough guess the actual figure is probably around 16 [26 total counting the 10K he has]. There are other variables, though, since if he gets high enough he'll get a deal for more than his chips are worth, etc.

Now what does he call with...without doing the ICM, I think 2:1 is a little more than what he needs. 60/40 is probably all right. But I am not at all sure - somebody else can do the exact math, this is an eyeball.

(ICM does say if he doubles he'll have around 23K plus the extra prize money in the pool it doesn't account for plus the increased $ when they deal. It's going to be a lot more trouble than it's worth to run these numbers out for real, but I have a feeling 60/40 is about right.)