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Old 06-17-2005, 11:11 PM
swolfe swolfe is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 632
Default Re: Flopped trips in 6 max. Villain shows tremendous strength on turn

[ QUOTE ]
ya all in is your only choice and hope for no QQ

[/ QUOTE ]

i hate it when people give this kind of advice. poker is not about "hoping", it's about planning and reasoning out likely holdings for your opponents.

from the description, villain seems like a reasonably solid player. he's only gone to showdown with set or two pair.

what do we know?
<ul type="square">[*] villain raised from the SB
<font color="blue">from a solid player this usually means a premium hand: AA/KK/QQ/JJ/AK/AQ</font> [*] villain showed strength on the turn when the queen showed
<font color="blue">implies: QQ/AQ, remotely possible AA/KK</font> [*] villain called a bet on the flop with an open pair
<font color="blue">implies: at least a PP over 8, remotely possible club draw</font> [/list]
the only two hands that make sense are AQ[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] or QQ. QQ is more likely. i think AA/KK could be a possibility too, but not as likely.
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