Re: Middle End of Tournament Hand Question
Looks like a close call to me.
The min-raise leaving t50 behind (if I understand you post correctly) is very odd, could be a prime pair desperate for a call, a mis-click, or just plain goof. It would be nice to know your opponents position.
A narrow range for your opponent would be AA down to TT and AK - AQ. A wider range any pair down to 55 and include KQ & QJ. Both cases a 50/50 mix of over-pairs and over-cards, and the result is going to be more or less that same in both cases, if I got it right.
The final pot will be t1,450; your equity against a pair is going to be 12 - 16% (approximately t200 x .50 = t100), and against overcards in the 32% - 34% range (around t480 x .50 = t240). So you average t340 for the cost of t350 (re-raise him all-in), costing you t10.
Starting out with t6,600 at the 150/300 level a loss of t350 will probably not have any major impact on your chances, whereas adding t1,100 to you stack will open up some additional stealing possibilities. On that basis I would go for it.
Best,
McMelchior (Johan)
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