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Old 06-13-2005, 02:29 AM
pzhon pzhon is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 66
Default Re: Advanced Sticky Bonus Questions

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So how would you determine your chance of winning in these cases?


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This is really messy, particularly if there is a maximum bet size. If you are interested, perhaps you should run a simulation.

For the specific case of blackjack, there is a problem that you should not bet more than half of your balance, or else you will be unable to double down or split, and this greatly increases the house advantage. Also, you will overshoot frequently, and it is up to you how to treat overshooting.

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And how would the concern of completing the WR somewhere in between busting out and hitting your target come into play? What can you do about this concern?

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I see no harm in betting large enough amounts that you are very likely to bust out or hit your target+WR'*HA quickly. You have to expose yourself to the risk of busting out, or else the sticky bonus is worthless. If you bust out, you should do so rapidly, so you decrease the average amount wagered.
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